Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.8% vs Dowd 49.1% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 75.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 77.6%
22.4%
77.6%
Goodrow
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Goodrow
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
51.7% (644)
-12.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
0.0% (2)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
41.6% (221)
+18.4%
On power play, Goodrow has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Goodrow is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Goodrow shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Dowd
Home
36.0% (25)
48.6% (451)
Away
54.5% (11)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Goodrow
Dowd
P1
46.2%
49.1%
P2
30.8%
47.3%
P3
50.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
22.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
41.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |