Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Dowd 49.9% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 83.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 85.6%
14.4%
85.6%
Goodrow
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Goodrow
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
52.2% (835)
-2.2%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
60.0% (10)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
44.0% (350)
-13.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Goodrow is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Goodrow shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Dowd
Home
40.0% (130)
51.5% (619)
Away
45.9% (122)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Goodrow
Dowd
P1
48.8%
51.7%
P2
35.0%
51.6%
P3
44.8%
47.0%
OT
33.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |