Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Dowd 53.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 73.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 55.5%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 52.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Goodrow
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Goodrow
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
55.4% (771)
-6.1%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
57.1% (7)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
45.5% (165)
+0.7%
On power play, Goodrow has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Goodrow is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Goodrow shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Dowd
Home
50.6% (385)
58.2% (462)
Away
48.0% (356)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Goodrow
Dowd
P1
49.1%
55.6%
P2
46.9%
50.5%
P3
52.3%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |