Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 86.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 58.5%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 65.0%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Goodrow
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Goodrow
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Goodrow
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Goodrow
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
55.2% (625)
-8.4%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
57.1% (7)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
38.2% (220)
+4.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Goodrow is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Goodrow shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Dowd
Home
44.3% (314)
53.7% (445)
Away
47.7% (279)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Goodrow
Dowd
P1
46.8%
48.8%
P2
44.0%
49.3%
P3
47.1%
54.0%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |