Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Goodrow wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.1% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 60.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 67.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Last 6: Goodrow 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Goodrow
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
1
Goodrow
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (450)
57.1% (1,367)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
59.4% (286)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (94)
52.5% (257)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Goodrow is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Goodrow shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Home
58.3% (252)
59.2% (936)
Away
49.8% (299)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Goodrow
O'Reilly
P1
51.7%
57.3%
P2
57.4%
57.5%
P3
52.1%
55.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
53.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |