Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 57.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 79.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 71.8%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Goodrow
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
56.2% (983)
-6.2%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
55.5% (254)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
52.0% (102)
-21.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Home
40.0% (130)
56.2% (697)
Away
45.9% (122)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Goodrow
O'Reilly
P1
48.8%
54.5%
P2
35.0%
55.5%
P3
44.8%
57.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |