Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.1%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 65.7%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 55.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Goodrow
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
56.6% (1,064)
-7.3%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
60.4% (260)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
54.0% (261)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Home
50.6% (385)
54.9% (801)
Away
48.0% (356)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Goodrow
O'Reilly
P1
49.1%
58.0%
P2
46.9%
56.7%
P3
52.3%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |