Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.8% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-13.7%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 60.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Goodrow
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
55.4% (826)
-16.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.9% (221)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
50.4% (129)
+9.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Home
36.0% (25)
55.8% (579)
Away
54.5% (11)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Goodrow
O'Reilly
P1
46.2%
57.7%
P2
30.8%
54.8%
P3
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
22.2%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
41.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%