Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.9%). Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 78.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 81.3%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 52.2%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Goodrow
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
55.0% (1,084)
+0.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
56.8% (303)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
40.3% (149)
+4.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Home
57.2% (332)
54.8% (759)
Away
50.3% (292)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Goodrow
O'Reilly
P1
50.8%
55.3%
P2
59.5%
51.9%
P3
51.8%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |