Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +22.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Hertl 56.6% (-22.8%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 72.9%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 60.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Goodrow
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
34.8% (23)
56.6% (632)
-21.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
58.7% (206)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
63.6% (22)
-30.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Goodrow is 17.6% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Goodrow shoots left. Hertl is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Hertl
Home
34.8% (23)
59.7% (434)
Away
33.3% (6)
54.9% (426)
By Period
Goodrow
Hertl
P1
36.4%
51.0%
P2
25.0%
64.0%
P3
50.0%
57.8%
Final 5 min
12.5%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
46.0%▲
39.0%
34.5%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.3%