Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Hertl 52.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 64.3%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 65.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Goodrow
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Goodrow
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Goodrow
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
51.6% (1,084)
-2.3%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
61.0% (246)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
44.1% (136)
+2.1%
On power play, Goodrow has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Hertl
Home
50.6% (385)
55.2% (696)
Away
48.0% (356)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Goodrow
Hertl
P1
49.1%
55.4%
P2
46.9%
54.8%
P3
52.3%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |