Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.8% vs Hertl 57.2% (-16.1%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 75.4%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 62.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Goodrow
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
58.1% (823)
-18.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.2% (265)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
62.9% (35)
-2.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Hertl
Home
36.0% (25)
59.7% (561)
Away
54.5% (11)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Goodrow
Hertl
P1
46.2%
51.6%
P2
30.8%
63.8%
P3
50.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
22.2%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
41.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%