Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Hertl 56.8% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 84.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 60.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Goodrow
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Goodrow
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
57.0% (718)
-1.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
64.9% (188)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
44.2% (77)
+0.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Hertl
Home
57.2% (332)
59.2% (463)
Away
50.3% (292)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Goodrow
Hertl
P1
50.8%
56.3%
P2
59.5%
55.4%
P3
51.8%
60.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |