Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Hertl 55.4% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 64.0%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 73.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 55.0%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Goodrow
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Goodrow
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Goodrow
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Goodrow
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
54.1% (717)
-4.1%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
61.9% (210)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
58.1% (31)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Hertl
Home
40.0% (130)
58.1% (492)
Away
45.9% (122)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Goodrow
Hertl
P1
48.8%
57.1%
P2
35.0%
54.0%
P3
44.8%
56.6%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |