Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs McDavid 53.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 89.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 72.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 78.6%
21.4%
78.6%
Hayton
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Hayton
McDavid
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
4
Hayton
McDavid
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
6
0
Hayton
McDavid
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
54.3% (1,002)
-6.2%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
44.8% (29)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
33.3% (15)
+10.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Hayton
McDavid
Home
48.8% (424)
53.6% (507)
Away
47.5% (438)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Hayton
McDavid
P1
52.9%
52.6%
P2
47.3%
54.1%
P3
44.1%
54.9%
OT
70.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:06 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |