Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Hayes 43.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 59.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 63.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 50.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Hayton
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayton
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Hayton
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
42.7% (478)
+5.4%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
42.9% (98)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
45.2% (31)
-1.8%
On power play, Hayton has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Hayton
Hayes
Home
48.8% (424)
43.5% (232)
Away
47.5% (438)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Hayton
Hayes
P1
52.9%
40.1%
P2
47.3%
44.8%
P3
44.1%
42.4%
OT
70.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |