Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Hayes 56.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 67.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 83.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 69.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
Hayton
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hayton
Hayes
Last 6: Hayton 4-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
56.6% (724)
-6.3%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
57.0% (79)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
65.7% (35)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Hayton
Hayes
Home
47.4% (171)
58.0% (405)
Away
51.4% (247)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Hayton
Hayes
P1
49.6%
54.7%
P2
50.0%
55.7%
P3
49.0%
60.2%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |