Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Hayes 51.7% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 63.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 61.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 63.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Hayton
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Hayton
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
3
Hayton
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Hayton
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
51.6% (386)
+1.0%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
53.2% (47)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
60.0% (20)
-6.9%
On power play, Hayton has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Hayton
Hayes
Home
53.9% (516)
50.5% (200)
Away
54.4% (504)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Hayton
Hayes
P1
55.1%
58.8%
P2
55.0%
49.3%
P3
51.7%
48.0%
OT
69.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |