Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.6% vs Kastelic 58.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Hayton
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hayton
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Hayton
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (483)
60.9% (281)
-8.3%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
83.3% (6)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
56.5% (115)
-20.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Hayton is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Hayton shoots left. Kastelic is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kastelic
Home
57.8% (301)
61.5% (208)
Away
47.7% (266)
58.2% (194)
By Period
Hayton
Kastelic
P1
52.6%
59.5%
P2
49.3%
59.7%
P3
58.1%
61.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
66.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
53.1%
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |