Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayton 63.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 51.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 59.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Hayton
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
56.5% (115)
-8.4%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
100.0% (3)
-44.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
100.0% (2)
-56.6%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kastelic
Home
48.8% (424)
54.8% (73)
Away
47.5% (438)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Hayton
Kastelic
P1
52.9%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
62.5%
P3
44.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%