Barrett Hayton vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kastelic 53.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 91.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 72.2%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Hayton
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Hayton
Kastelic
Last 10: Hayton 8-2 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
2
Hayton
Kastelic
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Hayton
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
57.0% (1,613)
-6.2%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
80.0% (25)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
53.6% (274)
-8.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kastelic
Home
52.9% (2,268)
58.9% (895)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Hayton
Kastelic
P1
52.0%
58.5%
P2
51.4%
56.9%
P3
49.9%
55.3%
OT
58.1%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |