Barrett Hayton vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Kastelic 56.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 50.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 90.7%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 71.9%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Hayton
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Hayton
Kastelic
Last 10: Hayton 8-2 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
2
Hayton
Kastelic
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Hayton
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,316)
56.8% (1,554)
-6.0%
Power Play
57.1% (553)
80.0% (25)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (369)
53.6% (248)
-8.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Hayton is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,581).
Hayton shoots left. Kastelic is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,344).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kastelic
Home
52.7% (2,137)
59.0% (870)
Away
49.5% (2,101)
54.6% (957)
By Period
Hayton
Kastelic
P1
51.9%
58.7%
P2
51.3%
57.0%
P3
49.9%
54.6%
OT
61.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
51.1%
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |