Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 68.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 85.3%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 58.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Hayton
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hayton
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Hayton
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
61.2% (340)
-8.7%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
83.3% (6)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
56.0% (141)
-19.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kastelic
Home
56.9% (432)
60.9% (233)
Away
47.4% (344)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Hayton
Kastelic
P1
53.1%
58.6%
P2
50.3%
58.7%
P3
55.4%
63.1%
OT
25.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
59.5%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |