Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 52.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 85.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 64.2%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Hayton
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hayton
Kastelic
Last 6: Hayton 4-2 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Kastelic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
58.0% (476)
-7.0%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
75.0% (8)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
50.9% (106)
-5.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kastelic
Home
54.6% (639)
64.9% (265)
Away
47.2% (591)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Hayton
Kastelic
P1
50.9%
58.5%
P2
52.7%
55.6%
P3
49.9%
56.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |