Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.4%). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 77.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 74.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 55.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Hayton
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hayton
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Hayton
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
55.4% (345)
-2.8%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
50.0% (4)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
35.3% (17)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kastelic
Home
53.9% (516)
50.6% (162)
Away
54.4% (504)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Hayton
Kastelic
P1
55.1%
61.5%
P2
55.0%
52.8%
P3
51.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |