Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.6% vs Duchene 51.0% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 54.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 53.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 53.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Hayton
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (483)
51.4% (177)
+1.2%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
75.0% (8)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
20.0% (5)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Hayton is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Hayton shoots left. Duchene is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Hayton
Duchene
Home
57.8% (301)
48.8% (41)
Away
47.7% (266)
52.3% (149)
By Period
Hayton
Duchene
P1
52.6%
47.6%
P2
49.3%
62.3%
P3
58.1%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
53.1%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%