Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Duchene 52.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 89.8%
Defensive zone
Hayton 76.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Hayton
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
46.9% (162)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
73.2% (56)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
100.0% (2)
-56.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Hayton
Duchene
Home
48.8% (424)
58.4% (125)
Away
47.5% (438)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Hayton
Duchene
P1
52.9%
56.9%
P2
47.3%
52.5%
P3
44.1%
51.9%
OT
70.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |