Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Duchene 55.6% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 54.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 56.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Hayton
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
56.5% (566)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
61.3% (62)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
22.2% (9)
+20.2%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Hayton
Duchene
Home
47.4% (171)
56.6% (318)
Away
51.4% (247)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Hayton
Duchene
P1
49.6%
57.2%
P2
50.0%
55.1%
P3
49.0%
55.6%
OT
75.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
58.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%