Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Paul 50.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 60.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 53.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 53.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Hayton
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayton
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Hayton
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
53.0% (644)
-4.9%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
37.5% (24)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
42.9% (177)
+0.5%
On power play, Hayton has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Hayton
Paul
Home
48.8% (424)
52.5% (516)
Away
47.5% (438)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Hayton
Paul
P1
52.9%
47.6%
P2
47.3%
48.4%
P3
44.1%
54.5%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2022 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Nick Paul |