Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Paul 53.9% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Paul 56.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 51.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 51.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hayton
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
53.1% (710)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
57.3% (199)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
58.0% (69)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Hayton
Paul
Home
47.4% (171)
56.0% (466)
Away
51.4% (247)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Hayton
Paul
P1
49.6%
57.2%
P2
50.0%
54.9%
P3
49.0%
51.5%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%