Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Paul 50.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 75.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 50.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 62.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Hayton
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hayton
Paul
Last 7: Hayton 5-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Hayton
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
48.8% (666)
+3.8%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
53.8% (65)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
60.0% (55)
-6.9%
On power play, Hayton has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Hayton
Paul
Home
53.9% (516)
49.7% (348)
Away
54.4% (504)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Hayton
Paul
P1
55.1%
51.0%
P2
55.0%
47.4%
P3
51.7%
51.5%
OT
69.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |