Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Paul 53.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 65.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 66.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 65.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Hayton
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hayton
Paul
Last 6: Hayton 1-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Hayton
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Hayton
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
53.8% (753)
-2.8%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
58.9% (90)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
47.4% (78)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Hayton
Paul
Home
54.6% (639)
54.2% (450)
Away
47.2% (591)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Hayton
Paul
P1
50.9%
58.2%
P2
52.7%
50.6%
P3
49.9%
52.9%
OT
41.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |