Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Paul 52.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 57.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 53.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 56.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Hayton
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Hayton
Paul
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
1
Hayton
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
4
Hayton
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
3
4
Hayton
Paul
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
52.5% (3,796)
-1.7%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
56.5% (480)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
46.7% (574)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Hayton
Paul
Home
52.9% (2,268)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Hayton
Paul
P1
52.0%
53.9%
P2
51.4%
51.0%
P3
49.9%
52.0%
OT
58.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Nick Paul |