Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Kelly 49.5% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Hayton 54.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 73.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Hayton
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
50.0% (6)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
40.0% (5)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Kelly is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kelly
Home
54.6% (639)
60.0% (5)
Away
47.2% (591)
33.3% (6)
By Period
Hayton
Kelly
P1
50.9%
33.3%
P2
52.7%
40.0%
P3
49.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
45.5%