Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +25.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Kelly 41.8% (+25.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 62.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 69.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 65.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Hayton
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
22.9% (35)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
27.3% (11)
+15.1%
On even strength, Hayton has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Kelly is 17.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kelly
Home
47.4% (171)
23.8% (21)
Away
51.4% (247)
24.0% (25)
By Period
Hayton
Kelly
P1
49.6%
22.2%
P2
50.0%
23.5%
P3
49.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
58.8%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
23.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |