Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Thomas 49.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 74.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 56.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.4%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Hayton
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Hayton
Thomas
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Hayton
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
6
1
Hayton
Thomas
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Hayton
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
49.0% (910)
-0.9%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
53.5% (142)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
53.3% (75)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Hayton
Thomas
Home
48.8% (424)
47.3% (514)
Away
47.5% (438)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Hayton
Thomas
P1
52.9%
50.4%
P2
47.3%
47.5%
P3
44.1%
51.4%
OT
70.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |