Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.8%). Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Thomas 54.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 56.8%
Defensive zone
Hayton 50.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Hayton
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Hayton
Thomas
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
4
Hayton
Thomas
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
3
Hayton
Thomas
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
55.3% (990)
-2.7%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
54.2% (190)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
52.5% (158)
+0.6%
On power play, Hayton has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Hayton
Thomas
Home
53.9% (516)
55.1% (690)
Away
54.4% (504)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Hayton
Thomas
P1
55.1%
55.5%
P2
55.0%
56.4%
P3
51.7%
51.5%
OT
69.2%
69.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |