Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Thomas 52.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 55.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 54.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 59.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Hayton
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Hayton
Thomas
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
5
Hayton
Thomas
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
4
Hayton
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
2
Hayton
Thomas
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
53.2% (1,166)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
56.9% (262)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
48.4% (221)
-6.0%
On power play, Thomas has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Hayton
Thomas
Home
47.4% (171)
51.6% (830)
Away
51.4% (247)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Hayton
Thomas
P1
49.6%
52.7%
P2
50.0%
55.6%
P3
49.0%
50.6%
OT
75.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |