Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Thomas 52.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 51.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 63.7%
Neutral zone
Hayton 56.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Hayton
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Hayton
Thomas
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Hayton
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Hayton
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
53.6% (924)
-2.6%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
55.2% (181)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
44.0% (116)
+1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Hayton
Thomas
Home
54.6% (639)
53.6% (606)
Away
47.2% (591)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Hayton
Thomas
P1
50.9%
48.2%
P2
52.7%
55.3%
P3
49.9%
55.2%
OT
41.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |