Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 50.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 75.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 65.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Hayton
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayton
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Hayton
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
49.3% (789)
-1.2%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
56.9% (181)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
54.1% (98)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stamkos
Home
48.8% (424)
52.0% (512)
Away
47.5% (438)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Hayton
Stamkos
P1
52.9%
42.1%
P2
47.3%
56.4%
P3
44.1%
53.7%
OT
70.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |