Barrett Hayton vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.0%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 61.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 57.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Hayton
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Hayton
Stamkos
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
6
Hayton
Stamkos
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
6
4
Hayton
Stamkos
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
50.4% (9,799)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
55.1% (1,725)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
49.7% (825)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stamkos
Home
52.9% (2,268)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Hayton
Stamkos
P1
52.0%
49.1%
P2
51.4%
52.7%
P3
49.9%
50.9%
OT
58.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |