Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 53.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 72.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 65.4%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Hayton
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hayton
Stamkos
Last 7: Hayton 2-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Hayton
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
55.3% (628)
-4.3%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
55.1% (216)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
40.2% (87)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stamkos
Home
54.6% (639)
55.5% (499)
Away
47.2% (591)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Hayton
Stamkos
P1
50.9%
50.7%
P2
52.7%
53.8%
P3
49.9%
55.9%
OT
41.7%
87.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |