Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +38.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.7% vs Nelson 49.4% (-38.9%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 61.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Coleman
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
13.3% (15)
49.9% (840)
-36.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
52.8% (89)
-52.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
28.6% (35)
-28.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Coleman is 9.1% vs left-shot opponents (11).
Coleman shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Coleman
Nelson
Home
9.1% (11)
49.8% (458)
Away
12.5% (8)
49.0% (506)
By Period
Coleman
Nelson
P1
14.3%
50.1%
P2
12.5%
45.4%
P3
0.0%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
12.5%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
10.5%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%