Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.7% vs Nelson 50.6% (-10.6%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Coleman
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (20)
50.7% (879)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
43.4% (198)
+6.6%
On even strength, Nelson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Coleman is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Coleman shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Coleman
Nelson
Home
50.0% (12)
52.3% (621)
Away
33.3% (18)
48.9% (618)
By Period
Coleman
Nelson
P1
46.2%
48.4%
P2
40.0%
53.5%
P3
28.6%
50.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
40.0%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%