Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.2% vs Nelson 51.9% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 62.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Coleman
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (60)
51.3% (1,002)
-1.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
58.7% (126)
-33.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
51.9% (81)
-5.2%
On power play, Nelson has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Coleman shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Coleman
Nelson
Home
46.5% (43)
52.5% (590)
Away
50.0% (36)
51.7% (619)
By Period
Coleman
Nelson
P1
56.0%
50.5%
P2
41.2%
54.4%
P3
50.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
47.6%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
48.1%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%