Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 47.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.3% vs Nelson 47.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 58.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Coleman
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coleman
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Coleman
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (40)
46.9% (915)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.4% (94)
-7.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Coleman is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Coleman shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Coleman
Nelson
Home
39.1% (23)
48.9% (521)
Away
57.9% (19)
45.5% (516)
By Period
Coleman
Nelson
P1
47.1%
45.9%
P2
58.8%
48.0%
P3
25.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
47.6%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |