Blake Coleman vs Nathan MacKinnon
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Coleman wins 37.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.9% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 81.1%
Defensive zone
Coleman 67.0%
Neutral zone
Coleman 54.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Coleman
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Coleman
MacKinnon
Last 9: Coleman 5-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
3
2
Coleman
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
2
0
Coleman
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Coleman
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (145)
42.8% (1,039)
+2.7%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
50.8% (118)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (108)
46.2% (26)
-9.2%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Coleman is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Coleman shoots left. MacKinnon is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Coleman
MacKinnon
Home
49.6% (129)
48.0% (586)
Away
33.8% (133)
39.5% (597)
By Period
Coleman
MacKinnon
P1
39.5%
46.1%
P2
40.2%
41.5%
P3
45.6%
43.8%
Final 5 min
39.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
41.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |