Blake Coleman vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.7% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.6%
Defensive zone
Coleman 63.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Coleman
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (20)
50.0% (992)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
34.4% (32)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Coleman has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Coleman is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Coleman shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Coleman
MacKinnon
Home
50.0% (12)
53.3% (591)
Away
33.3% (18)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Coleman
MacKinnon
P1
46.2%
49.9%
P2
40.0%
53.2%
P3
28.6%
50.8%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
40.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%