Blake Coleman vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.2% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 58.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.3%
Neutral zone
Coleman 51.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Coleman
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (60)
49.2% (1,266)
+0.8%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
54.9% (193)
-29.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
49.1% (55)
-2.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Coleman is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Coleman shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Coleman
MacKinnon
Home
46.5% (43)
50.9% (740)
Away
50.0% (36)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Coleman
MacKinnon
P1
56.0%
50.9%
P2
41.2%
51.8%
P3
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
48.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%