Blake Coleman vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.3% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 55.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 75.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Coleman
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coleman
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Coleman
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (40)
44.7% (1,053)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
36.8% (95)
+13.2%
On power play, Coleman has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Coleman is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Coleman shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Coleman
MacKinnon
Home
39.1% (23)
49.4% (553)
Away
57.9% (19)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Coleman
MacKinnon
P1
47.1%
45.3%
P2
58.8%
42.7%
P3
25.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
47.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |