Blake Coleman vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.9% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 50.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 67.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Coleman
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coleman
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Coleman
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (61)
45.5% (1,190)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.4% (94)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
40.0% (30)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Coleman is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Coleman shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Coleman
MacKinnon
Home
41.0% (39)
47.8% (670)
Away
50.0% (30)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Coleman
MacKinnon
P1
33.3%
45.3%
P2
52.6%
48.5%
P3
52.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
35.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
44.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |